Dear Bryan, and everyone else who will read this,
I have never participated neither to the Exemplar program, nor to any of its discussions. I've been a level 2 judge since 2014 (before Wave 1 started) but seeing how the program was shaping and how discussions played out was always disappointing and even frustrating at times for me. Today we are in a dire situation, my frustration has reached a boiling point and I feel the need to discharge the weight and speak up for the first time. I do realize that a lot of what I am going to say here will sound like I am a Cassandra or a genius that nobody understands. I want to assure you that I'm neither of those and even if this will be a long post, I want to ask you all to read it through the end.
So, why do I find this frustrating? Is it because the change is a net loss on Expected Value (EV)? No, the problem is more deeply rooted than you might think, as many of the discussions in the past years completely missed the point. Again, I do realize that I will sound like the annoying “I told you” guy, but please, bear with me for a while.
The first question that I need all of you to ask yourselves is:
why are we at this point now? There are many reasons, but for me, the main answer is
Human Nature. In the past Exemplar Program (EP) discussions, multiple people raised concerns over the years for the potential exploits within the system, and the answer from the higher ups was, in pretty much all the cases, something in the line of "We understand where you're coming from, but we think that your concerns are overblown. Everything will be fine. Even if the system isn't perfect, we
trust judges as they take pride on NOT exploiting it.“ (I won't directly quote anyone because personal attacks are not in my interest) Today is the day in which the situation hit a wall because:
1. Judges are people and people respond to incentives;
2. Fighting against human nature is a losing battle;
3. When something of monetary value is involved, you don't trust.
This might be a bit too cynical for some of you, but sadly the supposed need to diminish the ”value-giving power“ of the EP confirms it. In many games and real life situations, including competitive Magic (such as building the most optimized decklist for an archetype), you ”win“ by ”min-maxing", which means maximizing the results while minimizing the effort. Some people min-max more than others (with some staying within the rules boundaries, some others breaking them), but it's perfectly human to do so (the perfect example is people soliciting or trading for leftover recognition slots, but there are many more). I am not trying to absolve anyone or to start a witch hunt against the rule breakers, it's just an analysis of the situation.
So, we are here because it is human to attempt to maximize EV and some judges did what some people trusted them not to. The supposed solution implemented by the Exemplar Program Team (EPT) is to add a random chance of not receiving foils when receiving a recognition. Some people in this thread have already commented on how this will be a patch that is worse than the hole, but very few, if not nobody, have actually grasped how this has a disastrous implication on the image of the EP as a whole.
The mission of the EP is to be a meritocratic system: you recognize merit where it is (with a bunch of official parameters defining merit), you don't recognize it where it isn't. Adding a random component on the system is an admission of failure on being able to effectively recognize merit. This bears repeating, so I'll make it bigger for you:
Adding a random component on a meritocratic system is an admission of failure on the system's true mission. If it's even partially random, it's not meritocratic.The fact that the difference between Judge A and B, both receiving one recognition each but only one of them receiving foils, is solely that a computer program didn't randomly select one of them throws the meritocracy in the garbage can. Not to mention that denying foils to a random set of judges because some people are gaming the system is like a mayor taxing random citizens to fund the police forces because the crime rate is increasing. You might randomly penalize a criminal, but you will most likely tax innocent citizens, maybe even someone who is struggling to pay the bills.
So, where do we go from here? Bryan, I do understand that, according to your words, you don't feel like willing to negotiate the introduction of the random selection, but I, as many other people (I hope), do want to strongly advise you to reconsider: the foil distribution within the exemplar program needs to stay purely meritocratic. I'm fairly sure that a better system CAN be designed without having to resort to randomness, and if a way cannot be found then either the foils or the program as a whole need to be scrapped altogether because this “middle-ground” solution of randomly phasing out foils will just make honest people disappointed while exploiters will still have a chance to receive something when they should have nothing.
And at last, if the situation is going to stay as announced, my final request is to add a way for people to opt out of the EP. I'm confident that many of them, including myself, would rather have the certainty of not receiving anything rather than the disappointment of being deemed worthy of recognition by a fellow judge, but not worthy of foils by a random number generator.
Greetings and very many thanks if you kept reading me this far,
Marco
Edited Marco Storelli (Dec. 4, 2017 06:27:50 PM)