Confusion on a trigger like Colossal Whale's wouldn't surprise me. Between the presence of “may” and the placement of the word “target” after the “may”, I'd expect the majority of players to think it optional to “trigger” the ability at all. Or that they must choose a target. (Based on the response rates of certain practice questions, I'd guesstimate that better than 80% of the player population believes this.) Even in this circumstance, I'd still lean “misunderstanding” more than deliberate cheating.
EDIT: Apparently, my own lack of familiarity with the cards shows. I was thinking about Colossal Whale and not paying attention to Trained Condor here. (Which requires a target and isn't optional at all.) Mea culpa.
That being said, while the event of targeting leads to a detrimental outcome, the trigger in and of itself isn't generally detrimental. In fact, evaluating the trigger in this specific circumstance based on the potential game state is precisely the opposite of how the policy is worded; we don't want judges to consider the game state in terms of making that particular assessment. (Yes, let it guide your investigation. But that should be enough.) So, while having to choose a target would lead to a potential detrimental, that doesn't make the trigger generally detrimental. It's just specifically detrimental here.
In short, the outcome would still be the same: No penalty, since the trigger is not generally detrimental. The opponent gets to choose whether the trigger is put onto the stack or not; at which point, the player is likely to lose Illusionary Armor.
Edited Brian Schenck (July 9, 2013 01:06:10 PM)